Interdependence Of Economic, Demographic And Environmental Variables In Determining Food Security In Indonesia

Abstract

Food security is a strategic issue in Indonesia's development, especially with the increasing need for food along with population growth. This study aims to analyze the effect of population, gross domestic product (GDP), inflation, and forest land on food security in Indonesia using the Error Correction Model (ECM) on time series data 2000–2021. The results of the study indicate that only forest land has a significant negative effect. The model also shows a significant long-term equilibrium adjustment mechanism, with an ECT of -0.4496. This finding confirms the importance of the long-term relationship of these variables in determining food security. In addition, these results indicate that forest land management needs to be carried out carefully so as not to disrupt food availability. This study provides a basis for policy makers to formulate a more sustainable food security strategy in the future.